NUCLEAR DETERRENCE WORKS; PROPHYLACTIC WAR DOES NOT! USA & Soviets Had “Cold War” But No War! India & Pakistan No Longer Warring! No Country Would Dare Declare War On USA, Russia, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, Or ISRAEL – That’s Right: ISRAEL! Why Not? Because They All Have NUCLEAR WEAPONS (WMDs)! So Why Are Israel & USA So Determined To Prevent Iraq, Iran From Getting WMDs With Military Attacks? Why Not Let Them Just Have Nukes!

http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2012/03/17/zakaria-deterring-iran-is-the-best-option-2/?iref=allsearch

 

Zakaria: Deterring Iran is the best option

 

Editor’s Note: Be sure to tune in to GPS this Sunday at 10am and 1pm ET.  Also, don’t miss my special episode of GPS, “Global Lessons – The GPS Road Map for Saving Heath Care”, which airs Sunday night at 8pm and 11pm ET/PT.  The special will run again Saturday, March 24th, at 8pm and 11pm ET/PT.

 

By Fareed Zakaria, CNN

 

When I was in college, in the early 1980s, I invited Ronald Reagan’s defense secretary, Caspar Weinberger, to give a speech on campus. At the time, U.S. colleges were hotbeds of opposition to the Reagan administration, especially to its defense policies. Sure enough, as Weinberger began to speak, a series of students stood up and began to heckle. One after another, they rose and chanted a single line, “Deterrence is a lie!”

 

I am reminded of that turbulent meeting as I listen to the debates over Iran’s nuclear ambitions because it highlights a strange role reversal in today’s foreign policy discourse. It used to be the left that refused to accept the idea of deterrence – searching instead for options such as a nuclear freeze. And it used to be those on the right who would patiently explain the practical virtues of deterrence.

 

The conservative thinker Charles Krauthammer wrote in the New Republic in 1984. “Deterrence, like old age, is intolerable, until one considers the alternative.”

 

Yet today it is the right that has decided that deterrence is a lie. Krauthammer, the Heritage Foundation, the American Enterprise Institute and others denounce containment and deterrence and would lead us instead to a policy that culminates in a preventive war. It is the right’s version of the nuclear freeze – a simple solution that actually doesn’t solve anything. Strikes on Iran would probably delay its program a few years while driving up domestic support for the government in Tehran and providing it with a much stronger rationale for pursuing nuclear weapons. Yet sophisticated conservatives insist that this route is preferable to deterrence.

 

Deterrence is a difficult concept to accept because it is counter-intuitive: The prospect of destruction produces peace. And yet its record is remarkable. Great powers went to war with brutal regularity for hundreds of years. Then came nuclear weapons, and there has not been a war between great powers since 1945 – the longest period of peace between great powers in history. The United States and the Soviet Union had a more intense and far-reaching rivalry than almost any two great powers ever. Each thought the other wanted to destroy its way of life. And yet, this rivalry did not result in war. Both sides were deterred.

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So also with Pakistan and India, which fought three Wars before they had Nukes and none in the forty years since.

 

If deterrence doesn’t work, then why are we not preparing preventive war against Russia, which still has a fearsome arsenal of intercontinental ballistic missiles? Or against Pakistan, home to a military-intelligence regime that has been implicated in more major acts of terrorism in the past 10 years than Iran has in the past hundred? The argument that Iran would be deterred does not rest on its reasonableness but on the regime’s desire to survive. “Rulers want to have a country that they can continue to rule,” says Kenneth Waltz, one of the most distinguished theorists of international relations.

 

To gain credibility with his conservative critics and with the current Israeli government, President Obama has gone along with them, ruled out containment, insisted that he does not bluff and spoken of a “window” of opportunity for negotiations. This might prove a serious error: It boxes in the United States, limits Obama’s options and forces him on a path that could push him into an unnecessary, preventive war.

 

Anguish over the prospect of an Iranian nuclear weapon is understandable. It would be better for Israel, the Middle East and the world if Tehran does not acquire such weapons. The U.S. effort, in collaboration with almost the entire international community, to prevent this from happening and to put tremendous pressure on Tehran, is the right policy. But were Tehran to persist, were its regime to accept the global isolation and crippling costs that would come from its decision, a robust policy of containment and deterrence would work toward Iran as it did against Stalin’s Soviet Union, Mao’s China, Kim Jong Il’s North Korea and the Pakistani military.

 

For more of my thoughts throughout the week, I invite you to follow me on Facebook and Twitter and to visit the Global Public Square every day. Be sure to catch GPS every Sunday at 10a.m. and 1p.m. EST. If you miss it, you can buy the show on iTunes.

 


Post by: CNN’s Fareed Zakaria

 

 

TABACCO’S

ADDENDUM Q&A

 

Fareed Zakaria has explained the Nukes, War, Foreign Policy re Nuclear States perfectly – except for a few “WHYS”:

 

1 - Why do Israel and the USA persist in War Threats, generally followed by actual Attack, Invasion, and Regime Change?

 

2 – And why don’t they follow that scenario with Nuclear Powers like North Korea, China, Russia and Pakistan?

 

WHY & WHY NOT

 

1 – If Israel and the USA already know that Deterrence is 100% effective whereas War only works to delay the inevitable (and both do know that fact), then obviously National Security and World Peace are NOT their Primary Goals! Only FOOLS follow a Path demonstrated to fail and ignore a Path proven to succeed. Neither the USA nor Israel are Fools!

 

The reason they pursue this Failed Policy is obvious. They pursue a Capitalistic Path of WAR FOR PROFIT, which necessitates Taxpayers financing the Debt Repayment to China after China supplies the actual Dollar$ by loaning the USA the Money in the first place.

 

Obviously that Policy benefits the Chinese also with none of the liabilities. China doesn’t engage in these Wars and does not risk Retaliation. Yet it sits back and collects that Interest while growing Capitalistically FAT!

 

As the Rothschilds financed Europe’s War against Napoleon in the 1800s, the Chinese finance the USA against Muslim OIL producers of our choosing. Note we never chose to even threaten Saudi Arabia, which produced 16 of the 19 Major Terrorists of 9/11 (including Osama bin Laden, who was Saudi).

 

Yes, Readers, we pursue a LONG TERM FAILED POLICY because it suits our SHORT TERM FINANCIAL GREED! Our Leaders, both Republican and Democrat (Republicrat & Democan), are legislating AGAINST AMERICA’S NATIONAL SECURITY to BENEFIT THE WAR PROFITEERS all over the planet! The Self-Interests of We The People plays no part in their actions!

 

2 – We know that Nuclear Powers don’t attack one another. That would be MUTUAL SUICIDE!

 

We also KNOW ISRAEL HAS NUCLEAR WEAPONS (read Jimmy Carter’s book if you don’t already know this!)

 

So why is Israel so afraid of Nuclear Armament by Iran when Iran KNOWS Israel has Nukes already? Israel is NOT AFRAID of Iran’s Nuclear Potential. Yes, Terrorists could buy or steal Nukes and use them on Israel. But they could obtain these WMDs from Russia, North Korea or even the USA, not just Iran.

 

American Capitalists in the past have sold illicit armaments to the highest bidders. The USA financed Saddam Hussein’s Biological Terrorism against his own people. How hypocritical of our Political Leaders to pretend they never knew that when they claimed Saddam had committed Genocide against his own people!

 

In Summation, both the USA and Israel are hypocrites! And Israel is the USA’s ATTACK DOG in the Middle East. We do it for PROFIT, not NATIONAL SECURITY!

 

 

Tabacco: I consider myself both a funnel and a filter. I funnel information, not readily available on the Mass Media, which is ignored and/or suppressed. I filter out the irrelevancies and trivialities to save both the time and effort of my Readers and bring consternation to the enemies of Truth & Fairness! When you read Tabacco, if you don’t learn something NEW, I’ve wasted your time.

 

Tabacco is not a blogger, who thinks; I am a Thinker, who blogs. Speaking Truth to Power!

 

In 1981′s ‘Body Heat’, Kathleen Turner said, “Knowledge is power”.


T.A.B.A.C.C.O.  (Truth About Business And Congressional Crimes Organization) – Think Tank For Other 95% Of World: WTP = We The People

 

 

 

T1572\3478

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5 Responses to NUCLEAR DETERRENCE WORKS; PROPHYLACTIC WAR DOES NOT! USA & Soviets Had “Cold War” But No War! India & Pakistan No Longer Warring! No Country Would Dare Declare War On USA, Russia, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, Or ISRAEL – That’s Right: ISRAEL! Why Not? Because They All Have NUCLEAR WEAPONS (WMDs)! So Why Are Israel & USA So Determined To Prevent Iraq, Iran From Getting WMDs With Military Attacks? Why Not Let Them Just Have Nukes!

  1. admin says:

    THE PORCUPINE DEFENSE!

    In Capitalist societies, the lust for Money and Power is almost an IRRESISTIBLE FORCE – ALMOST. But SELF-PRESERVATION TRUMPS GREED! And WMDs convince even the most ardent IMPERIALISTS to CEASE & DESIST! When one country has Nukes and another country has wealth and Nukes, the one country seeks another way of sharing in that wealth besides NUCLEAR WAR!

    That’s why Americans no longer have to fear War with North Korea – and North Koreans no longer have to fear War with the United States of America. Ain’t DETERRENCE WONDERFUL!

    TABACCO

    PS The only country ever to use Atom Bombs on another country was the United States on Japan. Of course, Japan itself had no Atom Bomb! Had England, the USA, the USSR, Germany, Japan, Italy, Poland, France et al all had Atom Bombs, WWII would never have happened. Do you remember WWIII!

  2. admin says:

    Forgot to ANSWER MY OWN QUESTION: So Why Are Israel & USA So Determined To Prevent Iraq, Iran From Getting WMDs With Military Attacks? Why Not Let Them Just Have Nukes!

    The Simplicity of the Answer may surprise you (perhaps that’s why I myself overlooked giving it).

    THE ANSWER: It is obvious that if every country on the planet had Atom Bombs in its arsenal, there would be NO WARS! You and I might yearn for such a world. But the Capitalists do not! If you could not militarily threaten or attack any country on Earth, you unload the Capitalists’ main gun: WAR! We could not threaten OPEC countries with all their OIL! Without War or at least the THREAT OF WAR, U.S. Foreign Policy does not exist. The U.S. would then have to compete on a level playing field since MIGHT WOULD NO LONGER MAKE RIGHT!

    The Answer is Capitalist IMPERIALIST GREED!

    TABACCO

  3. admin says:

    Military Suicides on Record Pace, Outnumbering Battlefield Deaths

    New figures show this year’s military suicide rate is on pace to reach a record high. The Pentagon says there have been at least 154 suicides among active-duty troops through last Thursday, a rate of nearly one each day. The figure marks an 18 percent increase over the same period a year ago. More U.S. soldiers have died by taking their own lives than been killed on the battlefield.

    http://www.democracynow.org/2012/6/11/headlines
    Repub by Tabacco

  4. admin says:

    “Little Brother Israel Emulates Big Brother USA”

    Israel Detains Scores of African Immigrants in Major Sweep

    Israel has rounded up scores of mostly African immigrants in a coordinated sweep to begin deportations. Around 240 people have been detained in recent days, and another 300 have reportedly agreed to be deported voluntarily. The roundup has sparked allegations of racism for targeting mainly people of African descent. At a rally in Tel Aviv, African migrant Guy Joseph said immigrants are facing a crackdown inside Israel.

    Guy Joseph: “We are demonstrating to fight for the refugees’ rights, because like last — two weeks ago, like Israelis, they started attacking the refugees in the street. And we are against the violence. The violence is enough that has been happening to us in our homeland, and we are looking for the safest place that we can get our rights.”

    In addition to the roundup, Israel has drawn criticism for a recent law that allows for the detention of migrants without charge for up to three years. In a statement, Human Rights Watch said the measure “punishes refugees in violation of international law.”

    http://www.democracynow.org/2012/6/13/headlines#6131
    Repub by Tabacco
    TABACCO: You had to know it wouldn’t be long before Israel upgraded its RACIAL EXPLOITATION from Brown Muslims to Black Africans! You know the old saying, “Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery!” We all know which country Israel is emulating!”

    I have another quote from the film ‘Lost Boundaries’: “If you’re white, you’re all right; if you’re brown, stick around; but if you’re black, get back!”

    This fits in neatly under the USA sphere of influence!

  5. admin says:

    http://www.democracynow.org/2012/9/17/headlines#9176

    Netanyahu Claims Iran Approaching Nuke Advancement, 20 Years After Making Similar Claim
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    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu continues to press his case for military action against Iran despite apparent resistance from the United States. Speaking to NBC’s “Meet the Press” on Sunday, Netanyahu said Iran is close to developing the enriched uranium needed for a nuclear weapon.

    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: “So I think that as they [Iran] get closer and closer and closer to the achievement of weapons-grade material — and they’re very close, they’re six months away from being about 90 percent of having the enriched uranium for an atom bomb — I think that you have to place that red line before them now, before it’s too late. We have to stop them. Don’t rely on containment. That is not the American policy. It would be wrong. It would be a grave, grave mistake. Don’t let these fanatics have nuclear weapons. It’s terrible for Israel, and it’s terrible for America. It’s terrible for the world.”

    Despite his warning of a six-month window before Iran advances its alleged nuclear weapons program, this wasn’t the first time Netanyahu has made such a prediction. In 1992 — 20 years ago — Netanyahu said that Iran was just three to five years from developing a nuclear weapon and urged U.S.-led international action to stop the purported threat.

    Tabacco: In 1920 British Prime Minister, Lloyd George, prognosticated, “If we leave Iraq now, there will be Civil War!” During George W. Bush’s Illicit War Crime Invasion of Iraq, members of his administration and GWB himself recycled and reiterated that same unproven prognostication, “If we leave Iraq now, there will be Civil War!”

    Do you see the similarity? See how Sophistic Propagandists use FEAR to get you to let them use War to make Profits at the expense of innocent men, women and children, whose only crime is living on top of GREAT OIL RESERVES!

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